Russia–NATO risk ladder

Connect Remote server

claude mcp add --transport http risk-ladder https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "risk-ladder": {
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  }
}

{
  "servers": {
    "risk-ladder": {
      "type": "http",
      "url": "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"
    }
  }
}

Settings > Connectors > Add custom connector
URL: https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp

Tools 8 found in our last check

• get_overview

  Start here. Annual risk for the five escalation levels today, a year ago and in one year (optimistic / baseline / pessimistic), plus average intelligence tone per country. Every number carries its provenance (published / model / manual).

• get_risk_ladder

  Annual risk of each level on a date between one year ago and one year ahead of the data date. Past dates use the published forecast archive; future dates use the scenario model and also return cumulative risk from the data date. Optional what-if assumptions.

• get_forecast_history

  Published Metaculus probabilities by 2035 for an attack on European NATO or a seizure of Baltic territory, with the annual conversion for each observation.

• get_intelligence_assessments

  Public assessments by intelligence services and governments of 12 countries, newest first, with hand-coded tone from -2 to +2 for a military attack and for hybrid attacks, averages by country, check dates and links.

• get_sources

  The 51 sources with what each says, how it is used, countries, check date and link. Filter by type (intel, research, method, forecast), country or text.

• get_other_forecasts

  Prediction markets and other numeric forecasts with a different event or horizon (Manifold, Polymarket, Metaculus, Good Judgment Open, Atlantic Council), with check dates and corrections.

• get_changelog

  Significant changes to data, model and site, and the corrections history (what was wrong, what changed, who reported it).

• get_methodology

  Level definitions, formulas, current assumptions with check dates, the verbal probability scale and what the model deliberately does not do.

Details

More other servers See all

• SalaryNet Payroll

  Gross-to-net pay and employer cost for US, PH, NG, ID, IN, BR, KE, VN with official sources.

• Auto Öz

  Auto Öz: Kontakt, Standorte, Öffnungszeiten, Leistungen und Angebote, Freie Termine, Termin…

• CGC Airport Transfers

  Fixed-price quotes and bookings for private airport transfers: Gold Coast, Brisbane, Byron Bay.

• Coral

  Private, non-explicit intimacy exercises, scripts and a couples quiz for adults 18+.

• Business valuation calculator

  Estimates what a buyer might pay for a small agency, service or SaaS business, in US dollars.

• BuildYourWolfpack

  Roast-to-order coffee with a game built in: missions, Pack Points, and your own wolf pack.