I highlighted KY-06 as an early district to watch as a barometer of today's vote and now some real results are crossing and betting markets are moving.In Anderson County, the numbers show the Republican Alvarado leading by 19 percentage points. That's good, right? No, it's not because in the prior t
Carney’s remarks offer modest support for the Canadian dollar, as any easing of the 50% US tariff would lift a weight on Canadian exporters and the growth outlook. The lack of a timeline limits how much a trade-deal premium can build, so USD/CAD is likely to stay more sensitive to the US midterm res
The miss on every major measure is likely to weigh on the New Zealand dollar and trim pricing for a December rate hike. The kiwi was already near a cycle low against the Australian dollar after last week’s RBNZ hold, and the gap with a more hawkish RBA now looks set to widen. The weak jobs figures a
JOLTs Job openings 7.523M vs 7.100M estimateUS September factory orders +1.8% vs +1.2% expectedTrump on Israel: The aid gets cut off at year-endNever tell me the odds: Prediction markets see Democrats taking control of House and SenateBOC's Macklem: There could be a need to raise the policy rate fur
Oil has been falling this week but there's a fair argument that Trump could be attempting to send false signals in order to lower oil prices ahead of the vote. Behind the scenes, the US military has been angling to be in a position to attack immediately after the midterms. The New York Times cites U
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Midterm election day continues in the United States without too much drama. All the talk of false flags and martial law on election day hasn't taken place and the polling disruptions have been minimal and certainly not widespread.Here’s the schedule for when the polls close across the US. States tha
The latest prediction-market prices show another modest shift toward Republicans in Senate control, while House control is largely unchanged. The latter part makes me think the movement is variance in a relatively thin market rather than a signal. In any case, the numbers are worth watching.There is
Reports surrounding Iran are putting the choice between diplomacy and renewed military action back in focus.The New York Times, citing sources, reports that Israel has shared intelligence with Washington asserting that Iran is considering using chemical weapons against its adversaries. The assessmen
Prior factory orders +0.1%Factory orders excluding transportation +0.5% vs +0.3% priorDurable goods orders revisions +1.9% vs +1.8% prelimDurable goods excluding transportation revisions +0.5% vs +0.5% prelimDurable goods excluding defense +2.3% vs +2.2% prelimNondefense capital goods orders excludi
Prior month 7.079M revised to 7.19MDetails of the JOLTs Job openings: Job openings: 7.523 million vs 7.190 million, up 333,000. August revised up by 111,000 to 7.2 million.Job openings rate: 4.5%.Hires: 5.402 million vs 5.271 million, up 131,000.Total separations: 5.319 million vs 5.175 million, up
There are more headlines crossing suggesting positive developments in Iran-US talks, with Al-Arabiya now carrying similar headlines to the earlier ones that weighed on oil.In contrast, here is Iran security chief Mohsen Rezaei just now:America's response to Iran's rights and demands was not convinci
A coordinated international law enforcement operation has dismantled the technical infrastructure of a sweeping investment fraud scheme estimated to have defrauded victims in more than 50 countries of at least €4 million.The operation targeted a "crime-as-a-service" network. Operating primarily out
XTB signed up about 5% more new clients in October's first 27 days than a year earlier, despite running what it calls its biggest advertising campaign. Year-on-year growth had reached 51% in the third quarter.The company reported more than 100,600 new clients for the period alongside its third-quart
AvaTrade has launched a new in-house, multi-asset trading platform that incorporates AI-driven fundamental and technical analysis. The broker says the system is designed to generate trading signals and market insights for its retail clients.London's trading industry is coming home!Daire Ferguson, Av
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“Most of your visibility isn’t on your site at all,” says Zay Yang, Founder & CEO of Wordflow, a company helping brands track and improve how they are recommended across Generative Engine Optimization (GEO) platforms. For two decades, the economic bargain at the heart of the internet was reliably st
Rostro Group, which owns broker Scope Markets, said today (Tuesday) it has registered as a virtual asset service provider (VASP) in the British Virgin Islands. It plans to offer spot crypto brokerage and fiat on- and off-ramps.The approval was granted by the British Virgin Islands Financial Services
FP Markets has officially opened a new office in Johannesburg, adding a physical presence in one of Africa’s largest financial centres as the broker expands its operations in South Africa.While the office's size, headcount, or specific growth targets remain unclear, the move is a statement of intent